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	<title>The Chartist &#187; expectancy</title>
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		<title>8 October 2008 &#8211; HRL target met</title>
		<link>http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/us-commentary/8-october-2008-hrl-target-met/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/us-commentary/8-october-2008-hrl-target-met/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 00:45:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Nick Radge</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[US Commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASX stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[expectancy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[positive expectancy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit target]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/?p=122</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We banked profits on the short HRL position today and came within a whisker of doing the same with EPIC. Here is a visual version of the HRL trade. Last nights decline puts the account at +2% for the first week but we&#8217;re still struggling to find appropriate opportunities. One or two are developing but [...]<p>Get a Free Chart of the Week at <a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au">The Chartist</a><br/><br/><a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/us-commentary/8-october-2008-hrl-target-met/">8 October 2008 &#8211; HRL target met</a></p>
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="socialize-in-content" style="float:left;"></div><p>We banked profits on the short HRL position today and came within a whisker of doing the same with EPIC. Here is a visual version of the HRL trade.</p>
<div id="attachment_123" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 160px"><a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/hrl-trade.png"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-123" title="hrl-trade" src="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/hrl-trade-150x150.png" alt="Click to enlarge" width="150" height="150" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Click to enlarge</p></div>
<p>Last nights decline puts the account at +2% for the first week but we&#8217;re still struggling to find appropriate opportunities. One or two are developing but we&#8217;re patient enough to wait for the right setups to come along rather than trade just for the heck of it. The account is now +4R with a 50% success rate. Interestingly though the two losing trades have both been against the major market trend and one had excessive slippage. This shows that a positive expectancy is easily achieved even though some knocks along the way are suffered. Many more will no doubt occur, but over the longer term we&#8217;ll come out ahead. Here is the HRL fill and the account status this morning:</p>
<div id="attachment_124" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 160px"><a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/oct-8-2008_trades.png"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-124" title="oct-8-2008_trades" src="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/oct-8-2008_trades-150x150.png" alt="Click to enlarge" width="150" height="150" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Click to enlarge</p></div>
<div id="attachment_125" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 160px"><a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/oct-8-2008_bal.png"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-125" title="oct-8-2008_bal" src="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/oct-8-2008_bal-150x150.png" alt="Click to enlarge" width="150" height="150" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Click to enlarge</p></div>
<p>Get a Free Chart of the Week at <a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au">The Chartist</a><br/><br/><a href="http://www.thechartist.com.au/sharemarket/us-commentary/8-october-2008-hrl-target-met/">8 October 2008 &#8211; HRL target met</a></p>
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