Archive | July, 2009

July 31 – Weekly trend now up

31. July 2009

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The big news on this Friday evening is that the weekly trend filter has turned up. This is the first bullish signal since it turned bearish in January 2008. The last time it gave a bullish buy signal, preceding that January 2008 bear signal, was July 2003 back when the index was at 3000. So [...]

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30 July 2009 – Weak close this time

31. July 2009

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An interesting day today with many of our picks making an early charge but reversing and closing weak. One pick, MXIM, tagged our target price allowing profits to be banked. ADCT on the other hand hit the trailing stop locking in a minor profit. Why does this matter? Because its the first time we’ve seen [...]

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29 July 2009 – Treading water

30. July 2009

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Still nothing to report suffice to say that the longer price can hold these recent gains the higher the chance that a renewed push higher will be forthcoming. We’ve mentioned the important of the Dow Jones Transports before as a confirmation tool. I happily note that the Transports have also managed to break up through [...]

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29 July 2009 – Catching its breath

29. July 2009

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A day for the market to catch its breath which, as I have been alluding to over the recent few days, is a positive sign. Markets only get more dangerous the quicker they rise, but when they meander higher the gains are more sustainable. I would suggest todays weakness will continue for the next week [...]

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July 27 2009 – Approaching 1000

28. July 2009

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A repeat performance of last weeks activity to get this week going; a bit of range trading with a firm close. We’re just trading below the psychological 1000 level in the S&P 500 so we’d expect to see some posturing in and around it. What is clear is that the major range has been broken [...]

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27 July 2009 – A solid gain

27. July 2009

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Good strong day after breaking through the upper boundary of the recent frustrating range. Our red alert lights have come back after Friday but this should still be seen as a slight warning. We did mention on Friday that Type-A Bearish Divergence was in place. That remains so, but will only be triggered should last [...]

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24 July 2009 – A warning sign appears

24. July 2009

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The market closed quite well off its intra day highs as is been doing come Friday. Its obvious that traders don’t wish to go home long over the weekend and also the NAB capital raising is still weighing on prices. The good news is that daily trend and momentum filters remain up and our red [...]

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July 23 2009 – Up and running

24. July 2009

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We had been saying for a few days that the fact that price was ‘sticking’ to the upper side of the range and not reversing was a good signal for the next leg higher. After last nights burst we need to assume that we’re on the way now. I’m still wary as we now have [...]

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July 23 2009 – Holding the highs

24. July 2009

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Again not much to add today. A tight range but a positive day as the range highs continue to hold us nearby. I would be concerned if price reversed immediately off these highs but the fact we’re holding is positive. The longer we stick here the better the foundation for the next leg higher. That [...]

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July 22 2009 – Holding the highs

22. July 2009

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Even with the surprise announcement by NAB about bad debts and further capital raising the market held itself together remaining in touch with the range highs. This buoyancy continues to extend from the US gains on back of their earnings.Over the last 3-days I have highlighted the read alert bars, so we’ll cover that in [...]

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